Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change CLIM-CAP Training Pilot Module 1: Basic scientific knowledge - Climate change scenarios - "With the support of.

Slides:

Advertisements

Ähnliche Präsentationen

Steffen Maretzke October 2010 pers com

Advertisements

Starter – Match up – Write the German AND English

Hans von Storch Institut für Küstenforschung, GKSS Forschungszentrum, Geesthacht Clisap/KlimaCampus, Universität Hamburg Folgen des Klimawandels für die.

Klimaforschung, Klimapolitik, Anpasung und Vermeidung Hans von Storch Institut für Küstenforschung GKSS Forschungszentrum Geesthacht.

Hans von Storch, Katja Woth

Fachabteilung 16A Überörtliche Raumplanung Cross border co-operation from the view of a public administration unit.

Methods Fuzzy- Logic enables the modeling of rule based knowledge by the use of fuzzy criteria instead of exact measurement values or threshold values.

Can you think of some KEY phrases which would be useful in multiple contexts? Take 2 minutes with a partner and come up with as many as you can!

Dr. Yuri Izrael, Russian vice chair of the IPCC: I think the panic over global warming is totally unjustified. There is no serious threat to the climate.

Ministerium für Umwelt und Naturschutz, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz des Landes Nordrhein-Westfalen Modelling of the carbon accumulation in beech.

Klimawandel! Global Warming! Die Globale erwaermung hat verursacht dass das Klima auf der ganzen Welt sich langsam aendert. Global warming has caused.

LVR-Amt für Bodendenkmalpflege im Rheinland The impact of modern agriculture on the subterranean archaeological heritage in Germany Jürgen Kunow, Bonn.

Uncertainty in feedback mechanisms in climate change projections

PEGASOS - Pan-European Gas-AeorSol-climate interaction Studies Aerosole stehen im Fokus des europäischen Projekts Pan-European Gas-AeroSOls-climate interaction.

You need to use your mouse to see this presentation © Heidi Behrens.

Literaturseminar IPCC SS 2011 Theresa R. Plank

Titelmasterformat durch Klicken bearbeiten Textmasterformate durch Klicken bearbeiten Zweite Ebene Dritte Ebene Vierte Ebene Fünfte Ebene 1 Titelmasterformat.

Wind fields can e.g. be calculated using the so-called momentum equations which are based on the Navier Stokes equations. But this is complicated mathematics.

KIT – die Kooperation von Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe GmbH und Universität Karlsruhe (TH) The dependence of convection-related parameters on surface and.

Institut für Angewandte Mikroelektronik und Datentechnik Phase 5 Architectural impact on ASIC and FPGA Nils Büscher Selected Topics in VLSI Design (Module.

Weak pushover verbs..... lieben kaufen spielen suchen....are verbs that do exactly as they are told. They stick to a regular pattern that does not change!

Institut für Angewandte Mikroelektronik und Datentechnik Course and Contest Results of Phase 5 Eike Schweißguth Selected Topics in VLSI Design (Module.

Institut für Angewandte Mikroelektronik und Datentechnik Results of Phase 4: Layout for ST65 technology by Christoph Niemann Selected Topics.

Realisation of a Substitution Method to Perform High Precision Density Measurements of Seawater Hannes Schmidt Henning Wolf Egon Hassel.

The influence of spatial variability of polar firn on microwave emission Martin Proksch 1, Henning Löwe 1, Stefanie Weissbach 2, Martin Schneebeli 1 1.

UFZ UMWELTFORSCHUNGSZENTRUM LEIPZIG-HALLE GmbH October 2004 in Leipzig, Germany at the UFZ Centre for Environmental Research 11 th Magdeburg Seminar.

Titelmasterformat durch Klicken bearbeiten Textmasterformate durch Klicken bearbeiten Zweite Ebene Dritte Ebene Vierte Ebene Fünfte Ebene 1 Rising energy.

K. Butterbach-Bahl | IMK-IFU | March 2008 KIT – die Kooperation von Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe GmbH und Universität Karlsruhe (TH) The role of the biosphere.

The Journey to America… The Immigrant Experience.

KLIMA SUCHT SCHUTZ EINE KAMPAGNE GEFÖRDERT VOM BUNDESUMWELTMINISTERIUM Co2 online.

Donaudampfschiffahrts- elektrizitätenhauptbetriebs- werkbauunterbeamten- gesellschaft ManuelaWagnermanuelawagnerMA NUELAWAGNERmanuelaWaGNERma nuelaWAGnerManuelawagner.

COST working group 2 – EMM Erreichbarkeitsatlas

EUROPÄISCHE GEMEINSCHAFT Europäischer Sozialfonds EUROPÄISCHE GEMEINSCHAFT Europäischer Fonds für Regionale Entwicklung Workpackage 5 – guidelines Tasks.

Fakultät für Gesundheitswissenschaften Gesundheitsökonomie und Gesundheitsmanagement Universität Bielefeld WP 3.1 and WP 4.1: Macrocost.

Universität StuttgartInstitut für Wasserbau, Lehrstuhl für Hydrologie und Geohydrologie Numerical Modelling – Policy Interface Workshop 12. March 2007.

The melting of the glaciers Global Warming. Structure 1. Glaciers 1.1 In General 1.2 How the climate influences glaciers 2. Antarctica 2.1 In General.

Großvater Großmutter Großvater Großmutter Tante/Onkel Vater Mutter.

What’s the odd one out and why? TeeBananenBier Orangensaft WasserMilsch KaffeeFisch PizzaSalatSchokoladeSandwich SchokoladeOrangenZitronenApfel PizzaFischOrangeChips.

On the case of German has 4 cases NOMINATIVE ACCUSATIVE GENITIVE DATIVE.

QUEST-Meeting, 14. Dez. 2007, Offenbach Parametrisierung der Verdunstung in einem 2-Momenten-Schema Axel Seifert Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach Geschäftsbereich.

Money rules the medicine?! A presentation by Jan Peter Hoffmann European healthcare systems in comparison.

What’s the weather like?. Look at the question above Turn it around and you have Das Wetter ist.... The phrase Das Wetter ist.... or Es ist.... can be.

Possible Economic Effects of Gentrification in the City of Zürich Urban & Spatial Economics AS 2013 Renger van Nieuwkoop Presentation by Denis Metz and.

LLP DE-COMENIUS-CMP Dieses Projekt wurde mit Unterstützung der Europäischen Kommission finanziert. Die Verantwortung für den Inhalt dieser.

Research as a basis for mitigation and adaptation Gernot Wörther.

Dr. Michalis Tzatzanis FFG – Austrian Research Promotion Agency 17 Feb OPEN CALLS IN HORIZON 2020.

Monitoring System in the federal state of Saxony-Anhalt, Germany Meeting on monitoring systems , May 2012, Prague Christine Makiol,

Fitness. An english presentation.

German Stem-Vowel Changing Verbs

„Strategy 2010“ in Austria and its impact for the cooperation of science and industry Dr. Ludovit Garzik Austrian Council for Research and Technology.

Process and Impact of Re-Inspection in NRW

Agenda 1. Wo waren wir stehen geblieben. 2. Vorstellungsrunde 3

Results from CO2 heat pump applications

Collaborative Webmeeting November 24th, 2010 Geneve / Darmstadt

Institut für Experimentelle

ELECTR IC CARS Karim Aly University of Applied Sciences.

Hans von Storch, Institute of Coastal Research and 中国海洋大学

Ein schwieriges Paar – die mediale und wissenschaftliche Konstruktion des menschgemachten Klimawandels Hans von Storch Institut für Küstenforschung, GKSS.

Veränderliches Küstenklima - die vergangenen und zukünftigen 100 Jahre

Official Statistics Web Cartography in Germany − Regional Statistics, Federal and European Elections, Future Activities − Joint Working Party meeting.

Integrating Knowledge Discovery into Knowledge Management

Calorimetry as an efficiency factor for biogas plants?

Communication 2 CASE STUDIES:

Ich - Projekt Due Monday, September 19..

0-1 normierte ECA-Basiswerte (oben) –

- moodle – a internet based learning platform

Die Messung der Zunahme der Meeresspiegels

Klimawandel an der Küste – Veränderliche Sturmflutrisiken

Präsentation transkript:

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change CLIM-CAP Training Pilot Module 1: Basic scientific knowledge - Climate change scenarios - "With the support of the Lifelong Learning Programme of the European Union"

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change The Climate System

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Radiation Budget of the Earth shortwave radiation energy profit - warming - evaporation longwave emission greenhouse effect

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change “Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global mean sea level.” (cit.: IPCC, 2007) Direct Observations of Recent Climate Change

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Global average radiative forcing Source: IPCC 2007

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Observed changes Source: IPCC 2007

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Comparison of observed changes in temperature with results simulated by climate models using natural and anthropogenic forcing Source: IPCC 2007

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Multi-model global averages of surface warming for the scenarios A2, A1B, B1 Source: IPCC 2007

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Projected surface temperature changes for the early and late 21st century for B1 (top), A1B (middle) and A2 (bottom) scenarios Source: IPCC 2007

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Relative changes in precipitation winter summer Source: IPCC 2007

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change increase of extreme weather events with local damages rainfall increases in higher latitudes and decreases in tropical and subtropical areas 18 cm to 58 cm sea level rise increase of the radiative forcing => increase of temperatures: 1,4°C to 5,8°C continuing melting of glaciers Global Trends of Climate Change

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Next slides are national, please find appropriate information for your country

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Regionaler Klimawandel Aufgabe: Abschätzung der zukünftig zu erwartenden Ausprägung des Klimawandels für die Region Problem: Globale Simulationsmodelle mit nur grober räumlicher Auflösung, für räumlich differenzierte Aussagen zur Region unzureichend Regionale Klimamodelle werden benötigt: 4 regionale Klimamodelle zur Auswahl Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Regionale Klimamodelle in Deutschland Modelltypen Numerische SimulationStatistische Regression ModellCLMREMO 10STAR IIWETTREG AutorDWDMPI-MPIKPIK/CEC VerfahrenNum. Simulation Statist. Regression nicht-hydrostatischhydrostatischtrendbasiertwetterlagenbasiert Räumlich. Auflösung18 x 18 km10 x 10 kmInterpolation Ruhrgebiet 8 x 3 Zellen 10 x 7 ZellenInterpolation Vertikale Differenzierungjanein- / - Zeitraum, von Zeitraum, bis Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Forecasts : - Warming trend continues: increase in mean annual temperature by about 1-4 Kelvin, increase of hot days in summer Climate Change in Europe

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change P.Hupfer, Nat.wiss.Rdsch. 5/04 Frequencies of daily maximum temperatures cold mean hot former climate new climate little change more heat more extreme heat

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change change of average annual temperatures (Ruhr district, NRW): to IPCC-Scenario A1B (database: LANUV 2008). Different regional climate model results for the Ruhr district, NRW Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Ergebnisse der regionalen Szenarien in NRW (jeweils A1B-Emissionsszenario) Vergleich Lufttemperaturen- Jahresmittel zu STAR II WETTREGCLM REMO Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Vergleich Lufttemperaturen- Sommermaximum (JJA) zu STAR II WETTREGCLM REMO Ergebnisse der regionalen Szenarien in NRW (jeweils A1B-Emissionsszenario) Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Quelle: S. Wurzler, LANUV NRW, 2008 Changes of the number of hot and cold days in Essen until 2050 Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Andauer von Hitzewellen: Zeitraum von Tagen mit T-max > 30°C Vergleich: Mittelwerte , Daten: Mittelwerte Datengrundlage: Klimastationen Essen und Dortmund; regionales Modell: WETTREG, Szenario A1B, Auswertung mit IDP (Kreienkamp und Spekat, 2008) Ergebnisse der regionalen Szenarien in NRW (jeweils A1B-Emissionsszenario) Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Forecasts : - Warming trend continues: increase in mean annual temperature by about 1-4 Kelvin, increase of hot days in summer - Increase in precipitation in winter up to 30%, decrease in summer up to 30%,increase in annual total precipitation, especially heavy precipitation events Climate Change in Europe

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change change of summer amount of precipitation (in %) (Ruhr district, NRW): to IPCC-Scenario A1B (database: LANUV 2008). Different regional climate model results for the Ruhr district, NRW WETTREGSTAR II CLM REMO10 WETTREG STAR II Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Vergleich Jahresniederschläge zu STAR II WETTREGCLM REMO Ergebnisse der regionalen Szenarien in NRW (jeweils A1B-Emissionsszenario) Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Vergleich Sommerniederschläge (JJA) zu STAR II WETTREGCLM REMO Ergebnisse der regionalen Szenarien in NRW (jeweils A1B-Emissionsszenario) Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Vergleich Winterniederschläge zu STAR II WETTREGCLM REMO Ergebnisse der regionalen Szenarien in NRW (jeweils A1B-Emissionsszenario) Please add your country specific data!

Basic Scientific Knowledge Climate Change Reasons of investigation: Change of global climate has an effect on quality of life and local conditions in our cities a relevant increase of vulnerability of cities to the impact of climate change is expected in the next decades some characteristics of urban climate have negative effects on the biotic and abiotic urban environment as:- urban heat island - impairment of urban infrastructure by intense rain or dryness this problems will be intensified by climate change !