Die amerikanische Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik im Wahljahr 2008.

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 Präsentation transkript:

Die amerikanische Außen- und Sicherheitspolitik im Wahljahr 2008

Karte der Weltreichtum

Karte der Weltreichtum 2015

Wirtschaftsstärke 2005

Weltwirtschaft 2007 Welt $ EU $ % US $ % D $ %

Pro-Kopf Einkommen 2007 United States $ Germany $ % 1997 United States $ Germany $ %

Aufgang oder Untergang?

Das Amerikanische der amerikanischen Außenpolitik Groß und Gut Klein und Gefährlich Unerlässlich, und doch Unerträglich Ambivalent, Inkonsequent, Widersprüchlich Hydraköpfige Hypermacht Niedergehende Ohnmacht Abgelenkt, Desorientiert DOPPELSTANDARD! HEUCHELEI! BRUTALITÄT!

Erstaunlich erfolgreich!

Außenpolitik ist Innenpolitik To renew America, we must meet challenges abroad as well at home. There is no longer division between what is foreign and what is domesticthe world economy, the world environment, the world AIDS crisis, the world arms racethey affect us all. Präsident William Jefferson Clinton, 1993

The survival of liberty in our land increasingly depends on the success of liberty in other lands.The best hope for peace in our world is the expansion of freedom in all the world. (George W. Bush, 2005)

Das Amerikanische der amerikanischen Innenpolitik Freiheit in Erfolg und Misserfolg Vielschichtig und vermischt Dynamisch und hochgetaktet Einwanderer und Einheimische Schnell wachsend, wohlhabend Love my country, fear my government Rot und Blau und doch sehr Lila

Bush vs. Kerry 2004 Elektorenstimmen: 286 – 251 Abgegebene Stimmen: (50.7% %)

Geopolitik American Style

Top Ten

Bottom Ten

Geopolitik American Style

Elektorenstimmen 2008

John McCain An Enduring Peace Built on Freedom, Securing America's Future From Foreign Affairs, November/December 2007 America needs a president who can revitalize the country's purpose and standing in the world and defeat terrorist adversaries who threaten liberty at home and abroad. There is an enormous amount to do. The next U.S. president must be ready to show America and the world that this country's best days are yet to come and be ready to establish an enduring peace based on freedom.

Hillary Clinton Security and Opportunity for the Twenty-first Century From Foreign Affairs, November/December 2007 The next U.S. president will have a moment of opportunity to reintroduce America to the world and restore our leadership. To build a world that is safe, prosperous, and just, we must get out of Iraq, rediscover the value of statesmanship, and live up to the democratic values that are the deepest source of our strength.

Barack Obama Renewing American Leadership From Foreign Affairs, July/August 2007 After Iraq, we may be tempted to turn inward. That would be a mistake. The American moment is not over, but it must be seized anew. We must bring the war to a responsible end and then renew our leadership -- military, diplomatic, moral -- to confront new threats and capitalize on new opportunities. America cannot meet this century's challenges alone; the world cannot meet them without America.

Das Amerikanische der amerikanischen Außenpolitik

The Denison Model 1.Struktur 2.Tradition 3.Weltanschauungen

1. Struktur Begrenzte Staatsmacht ist gute Staatsmacht Die Verfassung 1789

Balance of Power = Machtgleichgewicht

Alexis de Tocqueville, Democracy In America, (1835) entschieden unterlegener Form

2. Traditionen Universalismus Isolationismus

Universalismus John Winthrop (1630) For we must consider that we shall be as a city upon a hill. The eyes of all people are upon us. So that if we shall deal falsely with our God in this work we have undertaken... we shall be made a story and a by-word throughout the world. We shall open the mouths of enemies to speak evil of the ways of God... We shall shame the faces of many of God's worthy servants, and cause their prayers to be turned into curses upon us til we be consumed out of the good land whither we are going.

Isolationismus George Washington Farewell Address (1796) Against the insidious wiles of foreign influence the jealousy of a free people ought to be constantly awake; since history and experience prove, that foreign influence is one of the most baneful foes of Republican Government. It is our true policy to steer clear of permanent alliances with any portion of the foreign world.

3. Weltanschauungen Frieden, Freiheit, Wohlstand Life Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness

Declaration of Independence 1776 In CONGRESS, July 4, When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature's God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.

Declaration of Independence 1776 We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.

That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Declaration of Independence 1776

LifeLibertyPursuit of Happiness WeltbühneDschungel Anarchie Raubstaaten Familie Eine-Welt- Zivilisation Marktplatz Motive des Handelns Interessen Macht Menschen- rechte Begrenzte Staatsmacht Gewinn Marktanteil

Die Zukunft der transatlantischen Beziehungen Pax Atlantica Pax Americana Multipolare Welt Festung Amerika